When
accounting for the causes and factors that contribute to war, international
relations scholars often understate the impact of domestic politics on the
decisions of leaders to engage in military conflict. The Iraq War serves as a
prime example as to how United States internal politics shaped our foreign
policy.
After
the attacks of September 11, 2001, the American people felt both frightened and
vulnerable. With these new insecurities, there was also a surge in patriotism
as we came to view the existence of our nation as threatened. On September 21,
2001 Gallup measured President Bush’s approval ratings to be at 90%, largely
due to the “rally around the flag effect.” Americans viewed the president
as someone who could protect them, and for that reason, they were willing to
give him their support. When the Bush administration presented the American
people with the “evidence” that the United States had the capabilities to
produce nuclear weapons, Americans first reaction was not to question the
president and his actions, but to offer their support.
President
Bush was able to force Democrats who would otherwise not have supported the war
into doing so through rhetorical coercion. Anyone who opposed the war was
considered unpatriotic, and on occasions, a terrorist sympathizer.
By creating a dichotomy of being either “with us” or “with the
terrorists,” Bush essentially made it so that it was politically inadvisable to
vote against the war. Something that is often not discussed today is the fact
that the Democratic Party actually controlled the Senate by a narrow majority
when the first votes for authorization occurred. President Bush could not
have started the war without Democratic support, thus he needed to frame
the debate in such a way that Democrats would vote in favor of authorization.
The way in which the president framed the debate is completely independent of
the actual existence of the weapons in Iraq. In other words, the reason for
originally invading Iraq was because they possessed weapons of mass destruction,
but the debate about the war was shaped more by strong and emotional language
than solid and concrete facts. If the president had not successfully
rhetorically coerced the Democrats into going into war, we may not have
invaded. Therefore, the influence of domestic partisan politics played a
significant role.
The
effects of United States politics on the Iraq War were not limited to the
initial invasion. In November 2006, the Democratic Party won control of both
houses of Congress in the midterm elections. Shortly after the elections, Nancy
Pelosi wrote an article titled “Bringing the War to the End is my Highest
Priority as Speaker.” One of the ways the Democrats attempted to achieve this
goal was through withholding funds for the military operations in Iraq until
President Bush agreed to a timetable for the withdrawal of troops. Republicans
again effectively framed the debate so that such actions were equivalent to not
supporting the troops. They argued that by not supplying funding, the Democrats
were putting the lives and safety of American ground troops in jeopardy, as
they would be denied medical supplies and ammunition. Ultimately, the efforts of the Democrats failed, and it was not until December 2008, the “lame-duck” period in President
Bush’s time in office, that the U.S.- Iraq Status of Forces Agreement was
signed and a plan for withdrawal of combat troops was formed.
In
conclusion, there is much more to foreign policy decisions than the realist
ideas of power and security and the liberalist notions of economic
interdependence and international institutions. Instead, some of the greatest
influences on foreign policy can stem from a country’s own internal political
system. This understanding is key to explaining different countries’ behaviors.
Sources:
Krebs,
Ronald R. and Jennifer K. Lobasz, “Fixing the Meaning of 9/11:
Hegemony, Coercion, and the Road to War in Iraq,”Security
Studies 16:3 (July 2007)
Shirk,
Mark, Lecture 9: War (October 2014)
Tonner, Robin, “In Trying to Steer the War in Iraq, Democrats Drive in Fits and
Starts.” The New York Times (March 2007)
I find you're argument to be very compelling, as there is an extremely high correlation between domestic and international policy. However, I believe that your claim about framing the argument having an effect needs to take into account the fact that all leaders work to frame arguments in their favor. I agree there was extra support for the Iraqi War because of the "rally the troops" effect, but there were other factors as well. There indeed was concrete evidence of the issue at hand, as seen in the recent NY Times articles of the declassified evidence (not really the point but its a contributing factor). Bush was able to frame the argument as a means of defending the American people from further attacks, which the public understandably bought. Countless Presidents in the past have done the same thing. The power of persuasion is an important aspect when dealing with the two party system the US has. The facts are there, it's all a matter of how you present them to win people to your cause.
ReplyDeleteI definitely agree with your main point that any president or leader could frame an issue to win over the support of the public. Regardless of what evidence the Bush administration posed, 12 years later we now know the following: (1) Shortly after he took office, President Bush made it clear to senior WH officials that he wanted to get rid of Saddam (it was not a question of whether to do it or not, but HOW to do it); (2) Immediately after 9/11, Bush pressed his national security team, including senior counterterrorism advisor Dick Clark to investigate any possible linkage between the attacks and Saddam; and (3) The National Intelligence reports that were released were intentionally altered to exclude the existing skepticism within the intelligence community as to the existence of WMDs in Iraq. At the time, there was an environment of fear and confusion; the American people wanted to be safe and they trusted their president to do what was in their best interest. Again, I think you are absolutely right about the power of persuasion. My main point is that without 9/11 and the environment it created, it would have been much more difficult for Bush to make his case to the American people.
DeleteI agree that domestic politics plays a huge role in foreign policy decisions. In fact, this was a major component of my analytical paper. I believe every foreign policy issue is also a domestic one. While international issues typically drive conflicts, the consequences of war inevitably affect civilians at home. Events and circumstances must be looked at in their entireties in order to fully understand them.
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ReplyDeleteThis is a very interesting argument persuasion is an effective form of power being that it can come in the form of soft power or hard power. The rally around the flag being in the center if the spectrum because it coerced people into supporting the President’s choice to declare war regardless of whether or not the person agreed. There is a pattern with the rally around the flag for example, prior to attack on Pearl Harbor there was already a high percentage of approval for United States entering World War II. However, following the attack on Pearl Harbor the approval percentage increased 12 percent, from 72 to 84. The rally around the flag method being a very effective method for gaining support for a case.